Expect Toulouse to sit in their usual 4-2-3-1, a low block that invites pressure and looks to break through the wide channels. Their double pivot will try to screen Lyon’s central runners, but Tolisso and Tessmann are not the kind of midfielders you contain for ninety minutes. They’ll drop deep, pull the defence out of shape, and release Duranville into the half-spaces. That’s where this game will be won — in the gaps between Toulouse’s midfield and defence.

Lyon will likely mirror the 4-2-3-1, but with more ambition. They’ll dominate possession, push full-backs high, and look to isolate Kluivert against a slower right-back. Toulouse will try to hit on the counter, but their lack of a proven finisher in the predicted lineup is a concern. Lyon’s back four, with Maitland-Niles’ recovery pace, should handle most of what comes their way. Set pieces could be Toulouse’s best route — they’re strong in the air — but Lyon’s physicality at the back should neutralise that threat.

The game state is clear: Lyon will have the ball, Toulouse will chase shadows. The question is whether Lyon’s patience pays off before frustration creeps in. Given their recent European form, we back them to break through early.