Expect Paris in their usual 4-3-3. Luis Enrique loves that shape — high press, full-backs high, midfielders rotating into the half-spaces. Hakimi and Nuno Mendes will pin Nice back. Vitinha will pull the strings from deep, João Neves will knife through the lines, and Kvaratskhelia will cut inside from the left like a hot knife through butter. The full-backs will be the key: they'll create overloads wide, drag Nice's midfield out of shape, and leave space for Doué and Akliouche to run into. It's a pressing trap that suffocates teams who try to play out from the back.

Nice will likely set up in a 4-2-3-1, with a double pivot shielding the defence. They'll sit in a mid-to-low block, compact and narrow, forcing Paris wide. They'll look to hit on the break, using the pace of their wide players and a target man up top. The problem? Paris's midfield trio is too good. Vitinha and Zaïre-Emery will dominate the centre, and Nice's wingers will be dragged back to help defend, leaving them isolated on the counter. Set-pieces could be Nice's best chance — they're physical, and Paris can be vulnerable to a well-delivered corner. But that's a slim lifeline.