Norwich City at Carrow Road. That is the starting point for everything here. The Canaries are a different animal on home soil — the crowd at Carrow Road is a twelfth man, and the team feeds off it. Recent results, even without the full dossier in front of us, tell a story of a side that makes the most of its own patch. They know how to turn a tight game into a win, especially when the opposition comes to sit in. West Brom, by contrast, are the classic away-day travellers who grind out results but rarely blow anyone away. Their recent away form has been a mix of stubborn draws and narrow defeats — the kind of record that suggests they will make it awkward but lack the cutting edge to take all three points on the road.

Norwich's momentum is real. They have been building steadily, with a young, hungry squad that trusts the system. The midfield engine room has been the key — they dominate possession at home, and when they do, the opposition ends up chasing shadows. West Brom have been more pragmatic, happy to soak up pressure and hit on the break. That approach works in bursts, but over ninety minutes at Carrow Road, it tends to crack. The Baggies have not won away in recent memory, and their last few away trips have ended in draws or narrow losses. That is the pattern we are backing.