Celta Vigo roll into this one off the back of a scrappy 2-2 draw with Académico de Viseu in a pre-season friendly at Balaídos. That result tells you everything about where they are right now — sharp in patches, sloppy at the back, but always carrying a goal threat. The Sky Blues have that classic Galician identity: they want the ball, they want to play through you, and they’ll always create chances even when the structure isn’t perfect. Playing at home in front of their own fans, with that Balaídos atmosphere, they’ll feel they can outscore anyone on their day.

Osasuna, meanwhile, were beaten 0-2 by Al Ain in their most recent friendly. Now, Al Ain are no mugs, but that’s a result that raises eyebrows for a side that prides itself on defensive solidity. The Reds from Pamplona are traditionally a tough, organised outfit — the kind of team that makes life miserable for opponents with their pressing and physicality. But that loss suggests they’re still finding their rhythm in pre-season, and coming to Vigo with that kind of momentum is never ideal. They’ll be compact, they’ll be nasty, but they might lack the sharpness to take all three points.

Home advantage is real here. Celta have that Balaídos factor — a ground where they’ve pulled off plenty of surprises over the years. Osasuna’s away form has always been their weaker suit, and with both sides still shaking off the rust of pre-season, the edge has to go to the team with the crowd behind them. We’re not saying Celta will blow Osasuna away, but they look the likelier side to find the net and avoid defeat.