Bourg-Péronnas come into this one off the back of a scrappy 3-2 home win over Villefranche, and fair play to them — that's exactly the kind of result that builds belief. But look closer. That game was a knife-edge, end-to-end affair at the Stade Marcel-Verchère, and the Burgiens needed every bit of home advantage to edge it. They're not blowing teams away; they're grinding. That's fine in Ligue 3, but it tells you they're vulnerable to a side that can sit in and hit them on the break. And that's precisely what Thionville do best.

Thionville, meanwhile, are the quiet overachievers of this division. No one talks about them, but they've built a reputation as a horrible away side to play against — compact, organised, and lethal on the counter. They'll have watched that Villefranche game and seen the gaps Bourg leave when they push forward. This is a team that doesn't need to dominate possession to hurt you. They'll be more than happy to let Bourg have the ball and then knife through the lines when the moment comes. Momentum? It's with the away side, even if the bookies don't see it that way.