Avaí come into this one on the back of a gritty 2-1 home win over América Mineiro at the Ressacada. That result matters. It shows they can dig in, take a punch, and still find a way to nick it. The Ressacada is a proper little cauldron — 17,800 blue-and-white voices, tight pitch, the kind of place where visiting sides feel the squeeze. Momentum is a real thing in Serie B, and Avaí have it right now.

CRB, meanwhile, rolled over Vila Nova 2-0 at the Rei Pelé. That's a clean sheet and two goals — no complaints there. But here's the thing: that was at home, in Maceió, in front of their own crowd. The Galo da Praia are a different beast on the road. Serie B is a marathon of attrition, and away form is where seasons get made or broken. CRB's recent result tells us they're solid, but it doesn't tell us they travel well. We're not buying the hype just yet.

Neither side has a mountain of recent results in the brief — just one apiece. So we lean on what we know: Avaí are at home, they're confident, and they've just beaten a decent América Mineiro side. CRB are organised, no doubt, but they're stepping into a hostile environment with less to lean on. The edge here is Avaí's.