Expect Atletico Mineiro to line up in their usual 4-2-3-1, a shape that gives them a double pivot to shield the defence and freedom for the attacking midfielder to knife through the lines. Ruan Tressoldi is the key figure at the back — a defender who has chipped in with a goal, 281 passes and six interceptions recently. He is not just a stopper; he starts attacks. With Vitor Hugo likely to partner him, the centre-back pairing has both bite and composure. The full-backs will push high, knowing the double pivot covers the counter.

Bragantino will likely stick to their 4-3-3, but that midfield trio could get overrun. Atletico's double pivot gives them a numerical edge in the middle, and Bragantino's recent 48% possession against Corinthians suggests they struggle to control games against organised sides. Their wide forwards will try to stretch the play, but without a dominant number nine, they may lack a focal point in the box. The battle will be won in the half-spaces — Atletico's attacking midfielder will drift there, and Bragantino's midfielders will have to decide whether to track him or hold their shape.

Set pieces could be a factor. Atletico have aerial threats in Tressoldi and their centre-forwards, and the Arena MRV crowd will roar for every corner. Bragantino, meanwhile, will look to hit on the break, but their recent shot output suggests they will not create enough clear-cut chances. This is a game where the home side's tactical discipline should suffocate the visitors.